Are Predictive Analytics the Best Weapon in Fighting Fraud?

Coffee-break with GameChangers

Fraud is as old as crime itself. Patterns emerge, are cracked, and then overhauled by crafty schemers. Methods become more sophisticated and evolve with technological innovations. In turn, companies must remain vigilant and adapt strategies against new types of attacks. Such strategies were the topic of a recent financial excellence radiocast for SAP Game-Changers, discussed by three expert panelists.

A sobering stat

If you think fraud is something that only happens to other companies, Derek Snaidauf, senior manager of advanced analytics with Deloitte, offers a startling wake-up call: “By some estimates, the typical organization loses five percent of its revenues to fraud each year, which translates to a potential projected global fraud loss of over $3.5 trillion.”

That number is not easy to dismiss, Snaidauf offers a few reasons for the growing fraud problem:

  • Further advances in technology
  • Improved coordination
  • Lower barriers to entry
  • Turbulent economic conditions

Fraud isn’t just on the rise in one area, but pervasive across all industries. Snaidauf says that the time for reactionary behavior and chasing lost payments is over. You need to prevent the dollars from going out the door in the first place.

A case for predictive analytics

President of the Cangemi Company, Michael P. Cangemi, believes most companies don’t leverage predictive analytics enough in disbursement areas, instead using a contingency firm to avoid double payments. This doesn’t fix the system – and then companies give half of the recovery money to a contingency firm. It’s not a sustainable model as the threat of fraud grows stronger.

“If you don’t think it’s happening, you’re just naïve,” Cangemi challenges. “The question is how much it is and then the cost benefit of implementing some kind of controls.”

Jérôme Pugnet, director of solution marketing for SAP solutions for governance, risk, and compliance, takes issue with the “predictive” label, because you cannot predict a specific event. Instead, he specifies, “It [software] helps you predict where it could happen, most likely, and how it could happen so you can be prepared.”

According to Snaidauf, a leading practice is having an enterprise fraud management office, the size of which varies based on the severity of your fraud problem. The trick is to break free from silos to centralize fraud applications throughout an organization, boosting their value. Institute a set of pillars to lead a successful fraud prevention program with:

  • Data scientists to build the rules and models
  • Investigators to pursue leads
  • Processes in place to treat and deal with fraud in the most effective manner with comprehensive analytics

A future of cooperation instead of competition

In the coming years, the panelists envision a climate where fraud detection approaches are far more open and shared across companies and industries. Big Data and social data will also play a large part in enhancing predictive models.

Pugnet takes this one step further, positing a theory that enhanced predictive capabilities will uncover trends that revolutionize the way employers treat their workforce. Motivating employees and treating them well could do a world of good in abating fraud. Instead of disgruntled employees with motives to commit fraud, there will be a team of workers invested in protecting the company from such actions.

Is your business ready to adopt predictive analytics in the fight against fraud? Get more information from the full radiocast.

Reimagine the Role of Internal Auditors

Coffee-break with GameChangers

If there’s any business group that could use a PR makeover, it’s the internal audit. Once a team that inspired dread and fear, it’s now undergoing a dramatic transformation, as discussed during a recent SAP Game-Changers radiocast, part of the Financial Excellence series. According to panel moderator Bonnie Graham, there are three reasons the role of internal auditors is changing:

1. Stakeholders are challenging internal auditors to up their game.
2. Boards are demanding better assurance of the value that internal auditors provide.
3. Management requires clearer insights.

Move from compliance police to strategic advisor

One of the panel guests, Malte Globig of the Flint Group, offers the idea that the internal audit group must act like external service providers, developing a better understanding of what’s important to their customers. If the company can more clearly understand the value their internal auditors are providing, it will be more willing to pay for their services, instead of looking to an external vendor. “We must never forget who our customers are,” Globig cautions.

Michael O’Leary of Ernst & Young goes a step further, saying, “What we are actually seeing is…the need for internal audit to innovate in order to keep up with such a fluid business environment.” He details three key principles for effective audit delivery:

1. People: Compile the right skill sets, the right talent, and the culture and geography that serve the needs of your company.
2. Processes: Streamline complex processes companywide to support the changing risk environment. Make sure that an internal audit function has the right people and processes for the company’s historical strategy, but also for the risks that lie ahead.
3. Technology: Deliver as much value as possible to stakeholders by adopting the most innovative technology. The percentage of spend that most internal audit groups dedicate to technology shows an upward trend that bodes well for internal auditors and the services they provide.

Take the audit mobile

Building on the discussion of advanced technology, moderator Bonnie Graham wonders whether introducing tablets to the audit process would enhance professionalism, ease evidence capture, grant instant data availability, and improve paper management.

Bruce Carpenter of SAP posits that, since we have all grown accustomed to using our mobile devices, providing auditors with tools like tablets is of paramount importance. He challenges internal audit groups to demonstrate innovation in each audit. Carpenter believes the increased sophistication of databases, and their ability to store structured and unstructured data, offer new opportunities to internal auditors; the enhanced insight that can be gained from such analysis raises the game of internal auditors’ work.

But the biggest and most welcome shift, Carpenter suggests, is that “the auditor is increasingly going to become a collaborator in business progress and that evolution is already starting to happen.” Rather than being seen as a numbers cop or a distraction, the auditor can be integrated more seamlessly into business processes.

Is your company ready to embrace this new role of the auditor? Listen to the full radiocast to find out more.

What Defines the CFO of the Future?

Coffee-break with GameChangers

It’s no secret that the financial world is dealing with a period of rapid change. Effectively managing these fluctuations is ultimately the job of the CFO – but what does the role of CFO look like now? A recent SAP Game-Changers radiocast explored this question with three panelists. Here are their opinions.

Diversify your duties

“Remain constructively discontent” might be the most useful advice to current CFOs and other financial leaders. This quote from Coca-Cola CEO Muhtar Kent was invoked by Kyleen Wissell, Corporate Director of Internal Controls within the office of the CFO at the Coca-Cola Company. She believes in a culture of innovation and growth – and that starts with strong entrepreneurial mentality at the top levels. Contentedness can lead to complacence, especially in a time of rapid advancement. A watchful eye on possible improvements inherently enables progress.

Elena Shishkina, CFO of SAP UK and Ireland, agrees. She multitasks in as many areas of the company as possible, because, as she says, “I don’t know how my role will look tomorrow. I strongly believe you can only achieve the best outcome for the team and for the organization if you lead with excellence.” Shishkina views herself not just as a leader in finance but a leader in overall business transformation.

Many CFOs now realize that their position is defined by more than a collection of numbers. Richard Sernyak, principle at PricewaterhouseCoopers responsible for the SAP finance transformation practice, concurs that statistics don’t paint a full picture of an organization’s financial health. Greater focus should be placed on unstructured data such as social media. He explains, “What’s important is that not everything that can be counted counts…you need to look beyond the data and really understand what’s important.”

Take control of a new role

The paradigm is shifting as CFOs need to keep up with their traditional, spreadsheet-intensive responsibilities while creating more value for the business. Some of the unique responsibilities now require CFOs to:

1. Act as the lynchpin across the company for presenting actionable information in a dynamic way.
2. Enable proactive, predictive modelling in real time on mobile devices.
3. Enhance performance by spending less time on tasks that don’t provide added value.
4. Look past the numbers to see their context.
5. Take a more holistic view of the business by adopting innovative technologies (which we discussed in another recent radiocast).

Leading a top-notch finance department requires more soft skills than ever before, according to Wissell. CFOs must draw upon emotional intelligence, considering their internal customers, external customers, and opportunities to introduce a pure model that touts more of a specialist view.

As the transformation marches on, all panelists agree that championing technology will become paramount for the CFO. Sernyak sees the role becoming more intertwined with that of CIO as more millennials flood the marketplace and eventually move into leadership positions. Beyond an affinity for fast-paced innovation, Shishkina asserts that CFOs of the future must be culturally aware and sensitive to different aspects of diversity.

That’s quite a list of attributes! So are you a CFO of the future? Listen to the full radiocast.

Real-Time Finance: Helping Strong CFOs Transform Their Businesses

From Birgit Starmanns, SAP

Life happens in real time. Buying a new TV? You probably research your purchase , read reviews, and compare prices online. Get store opening times, directions, and parking. Even check your account balance. All the information you need is at your fingertips.

You’re constantly making decisions based on the best available data at any given moment. So why can’t you do the same for your business?

Particularly in times of market volatility, when organizations are bombarded by risks and opportunities, finance functions need a precise view of the past, immediate insight into the present, and a clear perspective on the future.

But all too often, a disjointed landscape of IT applications and silos of data mean that the best you can hope for is reliable historical information. Why? Because it takes so long to piece together the picture that the present has already elapsed.

What Is Real-Time Finance?

Real-time finance starts with being able to align all corporate data effortlessly to provide a single source of truth. It demands agile information delivery—to help you make decisions, take action, and adjust plans based on what’s happening right now. And increasingly, it relies on predictive capability to anticipate risks and understand trends and business drivers before they impact the business.

Real time isn’t simply about accelerating your business—it’s about reinventing it. It’s about having insight and foresight whenever you need it, wherever you need it, and business processes that can adapt dynamically. That might mean:

  • Being able to provide intercompany reconciliation on the fly
  • Detecting potential fraudulent activity
  • Gaining visibility into your cash position at any given moment
  • Evolving from a periodic to a continuous financial close

To find out more about the transformative potential of real-time finance and the art of the possible, visit the innovations radio show.

SAPPHIRE NOW 2010: Where GRC is Hot, Hot, Hot!

by Ranga Bodla

Four years after the acquisition of Virsa by SAP, GRC continues to remain a very hot topic of interest to SAP customers.  While the focus in 2006-2008 was primarily around ensuring that customers could get their hands around Sarbanes-Oxley, many organizations are now looking to move past SOX and see how they can leverage GRC to not just “check the box”, but to reduce their risk profile and increase their performance.  Customers are looking at how they can maximize their GRC investment and become both more efficient and effective at Governance, Risk and Compliance. There were a number of sessions and interest in GRC at Sapphire NOW as well as ASUG. Some of the big interest areas were the following: Continue reading